TAO Price Holds Support as First Halving Reshapes Supply

Key Insights

  • TAO is moving within a descending channel, sellers are in control and have stabilised the price near historic support levels, bulls need a strong push to confirm any sustained reversal signal. 
  • Bittensor’s first halving has reduced daily TAO emissions, which has caused tightening supply and raised competition among contributors producing measurable machine learning outputs across the network. 
  • Intraday trading shows consolidation between defined ranges, with balanced volume which points to ongoing equal participation from buyers and sellers momentum during sessions.

Bittensor (TAO) has drawn a lot of market attention after the network completed its first programmed halving. In addition to this its technical indicators pressure has converged and is showing a structural supply shift. Price action has remained constrained following an extended decline. Together, these developments place TAO at a critical juncture. Traders and long-term participants are in a wait and see mode as they closely monitor both market structure and token economics.

TAO Price Structure Signals Short-Term Caution

Market analyst Captain Faibik shared a 8 hour chart TAO’s price structure. In the post Captain Faibik observed that the price behavior remains under firm bearish control. The asset is traded within a clearly defined descending channel. The structure has  marked consistent lower highs and repeated rejections at the trendline resistance.

TAO USDT PriceChart | Source: X

Recently,TAO moved toward the lower boundary of this channel, then stabilized around the $220 to $230 region. In the past this zone has acted as dynamic support during bullish tests. Candlestick behavior at these zones shows reduced downside momentum, suggesting that selling pressure has slowed down compared to earlier sessions.

Still, the technical posture remains unchanged. All recovery attempts below the upper channel line were proved to be corrective since they did not last. Bulls need a decisive breakout supported by volume, or else upward moves will likely be treated as temporary reactions within the broader downtrend.

TAO Intraday Consolidation Reflects Market Indecision

Shorter timeframes show a similar pattern, with price moving inside a tight intraday range. The asset is fluctuating between $225 and $233. This range-bound consolidation is an indication of active short-term participation and liquidity-driven moves. 

According to the analysis, all the sharp dips toward range support have attracted immediate buying interest. This behavior suggests that defensive demand remains present at lower levels.

Volume across these sessions has stayed relatively even. Therefore, buyers need a huge expansion in trading activity, or momentum will likely remain capped. In the meantime, the market continues to rotate within established boundaries and is showing more favour to the buyers. Analysts have insisted on patience from traders as they await confirmation from either side.

Bittensor Halving Reshapes Supply Dynamics

Beyond chart structure, TAO’s fundamentals have entered a new phase. The asset recently completed its first halving event. This reduced block rewards from 1 TAO to 0.5 TAO. For now, daily emissions stand at 3,600 TAO, down from 7,200.

This reduction altered the network’s supply dynamics significantly. Interestingly, TAO’s issuance is directly linked to the production of useful machine learning outputs. Therefore, this lower emissions increases competition among contributors and reinforce scarcity within the ecosystem’s incentive model.

Market participants have compared this milestone to Bitcoin’s early halving’s, but within a distinct foundation. Bittensor has aligned token distribution with measurable intelligence alongside its strong computation. Technical levels are still compressed near support, but the halving adds a longer-term variable. All this has continued to shape expectations around TAO’s evolving market structure.

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